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Showing posts from October, 2016

Why Trump Could Still Win

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My original title for this post was "Why Trump Will Win."

Since then, nearly every major media outlet in the world says that a Trump win is a statistical impossibility.


We'll see. I've toned down my prediction for the moment.

Keep in mind that these polls have changed drastically over time:


There's still another debate, and several weeks before the actual day.

As far back as July 2015, I mused on Facebook: "Wow, Trump really knows how to play the social media game. I feel like he might win based on that alone."

I think it's easy for upper-middle class, college-educated folks to dismiss the idea of a Trump win, but bear in mind: Clinton is the status quo.

A lot of people do not want the status quo. A lot of people are pissed off at the status quo.

Nearly every recent election has been won on the promise of significant change.


For better or worse, Trump promises change.

Clinton offers more of the same.

Compare their slogans:


They're both pretty we…